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Preview: UFC 274 Prelims

Godinez vs. Carnelossi


Women’s Strawweights

NR | Lupita Godinez (7-2, 2-2 UFC) vs. NR | Ariane Carnelossi (14-2, 2-1 UFC)

ODDS: Godinez (-170), Carnelossi (+150)

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This should be an interesting scrap between two of the stronger strawweights on the UFC roster. Godinez made some headlines for her crazy fall in 2021, fighting at a somewhat unprecedented clip. After beating Silvana Gomez Juarez in October at strawweight, Godinez moved up to flyweight for a fight against Luana Carolina just a week later; and after a narrow loss there, she rebounded with a win over Konklak Suphisara just five weeks later. Mexican-born and fighting out of Canada, “Loopy” has some potential as a fighter who has been developing nicely during her four years as a professional, but she has had to walk a fine line during her UFC career thus far, needing both a strength and skill advantage to overpower her opponents. The Carolina fight should have been an easy win with Godinez’s powerful wrestling and clinch work, but she obviously struggled with the size disparity; and while Godinez was the strongest fighter back in her debut against Jessica Penne, the latter’s grappling acumen prevented her from clearly controlling the fight. That makes for an interesting pairing against Brazil’s Carnelossi, who is much wilder of a powerhouse. The bricked-up Carnelossi sells out on technique in the name of power and aggression, which has mostly worked in her favor thus far. “Sorriso” walked through everything Angela Hill had to offer until doctors stopped the fight and gave her a loss, but Carnelossi was then able to overpower Na Liang and Istela Nunes for a strong 2021 campaign. This is a fight that is hard to call on paper but could be settled early in practice. If one woman can clearly overpower the other and take control of the fight, then things are pretty much a wrap, even though it is unclear who has that advantage. Without knowing that important detail, Carnelossi may be the better choice despite Godinez being the much more process-driven and technical fighter. Carnelossi’s aggression should allow her to rack up volume against the sometimes slow-paced Godinez and take the initiative for whatever clinch and wrestling exchanges may occur.

FEELY'S PREDICTION: The pick is Carnelossi via decision.

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