Flyweights
Charles Johnson (18-7, 7-5 UFC) vs. Alex Perez (25-10, 7-6 UFC)
BETTING ODDS: Johnson (-205), Perez (+170)
Perez was a workhorse for the UFC in his first few years with the promotion, bouncing between flyweight and bantamweight while racking up wins as an aggressive wrestler and pressure fighter. That eventually earned him a shot at then-flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo in 2020, at which point Perez’s career essentially fell apart. Figueiredo tapped him in under two minutes, and constant injuries limited Perez to just one fight in the next three and a half years. Perez briefly made up for lost time in 2024, fighting three times in three and a half months. However, the last of those appearances ended with another knee injury, taking Perez out of action until the end of 2025. His most recent outing against Asu Almabayev in November served as a microcosm for how much things have been going wrong for Perez. He was putting forth an excellent performance until he suddenly went off the rails, as Almabayev hopped on a surprise guillotine choke to score a comeback win in the third round. This figures to be Perez’s fight to lose, with the main concern being that he just might lose it. Perez figures to be able to outwrestle and control Johnson for a lot of this encounter. With that said, Perez tends to fade and have things go sideways, while Johnson is clearly a fighter who only becomes more dangerous over time. The lean is that Perez can embrace the grind enough to get this over the finish line, but there’s going to be the constant worry that things can go off the rails at any moment. The pick is Perez via decision.
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